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    <title>Artificial Intelligence on retailtrader.ai</title>
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    <lastBuildDate>Wed, 29 Apr 2026 18:00:00 -0400</lastBuildDate>
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      <title>Why I Always Believed Google Would Win the AI Race</title>
      <link>https://blog.retailtrader.ai/posts/google-ai-winner-thesis/</link>
      <pubDate>Wed, 29 Apr 2026 18:00:00 -0400</pubDate>
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      <description>&lt;p&gt;I’ve always believed &lt;strong&gt;Google (Alphabet)&lt;/strong&gt; would ultimately win the AI race — not because they’d have the flashiest model every week, but because of deep structural advantages that matter in a capital-intensive, multi-year war.&lt;/p&gt;&#xA;&lt;p&gt;The market is now reflecting exactly that. Here’s the full thesis that has held up extremely well.&lt;/p&gt;&#xA;&lt;h3 id=&#34;the-core-thesis-written-more-than-a-year-ago&#34;&gt;The Core Thesis (written more than a year ago)&lt;/h3&gt;&#xA;&lt;ol&gt;&#xA;&lt;li&gt;They &lt;strong&gt;own their own compute&lt;/strong&gt; (TPUs + custom silicon)&lt;/li&gt;&#xA;&lt;li&gt;They &lt;strong&gt;don’t need to raise money&lt;/strong&gt; — massive cash flow + ad revenue moat&lt;/li&gt;&#xA;&lt;li&gt;They &lt;strong&gt;already have a huge enterprise business&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/li&gt;&#xA;&lt;li&gt;No painful &lt;strong&gt;revenue-share drag&lt;/strong&gt; with partners&lt;/li&gt;&#xA;&lt;li&gt;Raw model quality matters &lt;strong&gt;less&lt;/strong&gt; than integration, distribution, and scale&lt;/li&gt;&#xA;&lt;/ol&gt;&#xA;&lt;p&gt;This was never a “best model on the leaderboard wins” game. It’s a game of &lt;strong&gt;attrition, economics, and distribution&lt;/strong&gt;.&lt;/p&gt;</description>
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